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Whisper Stocks
Ted Melcher
tedmelcher@gmail.com
850-502-2025
www.MarketDigestOnline.com
Market Digest Online, Inc.

SPECIAL NOTE: The Whisper Stock commentary below is from November 24, 2008.....

Here's the flash alert MDO sent out on Friday morning.....

FRIDAY'S FLASH ALERT ON GOLD STOCKS: Most of you probably recall the gold model of our institutional subscriber. His accuracy rate is stunning. At any rate, his model has given an inflection and gold stocks along with the price of gold should move higher over the next 6 to 8 weeks. There is definitely a flight to quality in gold today as the metal is up 47 bucks at $792/oz. Stocks to consider there are Barrick Gold (ABX - $25.06 - Up $4.46), Yamana Gold (AUY - $4.11 - Up $.51), Rangold Resources (GOLD - $31.31 - Up $4.58) and Gold Corp. (GG - $22.32 - Up $3.27)....

UPDATE - NOVEMBER 24, 2008:
Gold closed above the $800 mark and gold stocks screamed to the upside. There appears to be a terrific opportunity in gold stocks, as until Friday, gold and told stocks had followed the rest of the market in a downward spiral. In times of economic uncertainty, gold has always been a safe haven. The surge on Friday is likely telling investors that gold and gold stocks are headed higher. With most gold stocks just off their 52-week highs, that translates into a money making opportunity.

BARRICK GOLD CORP.: (ABX) $27.05 Up $6.45.... On twice its average daily volume, Barrick Gold made a technical breakout when it closed above the $25 level. Technicals now indicate a near-term price objective of the low-$40's. The 52-week high is $54.74 and ABX could eventually trade back to this level.

YAMANA GOLD: (AUY) $4.41 Up $.81.... Yamana Gold made an upside reversal on it's chart on 28 million shares. A close above $4.75 will be a technical breakout, likely signaling a move to double digits. The 52-week high is $19.93 so there's lots of juice in this one.

RANGOLD RESOURCES: (GOLD) $33.41 Up $6.68 on 2.3 million shares or twice the normal volume.... The 52-week high is $56.26. Rangold Resources made a technical breakout on Friday when it closed above the $31.00 level. Technicals now indicate a near-term move to the mid-$40's.

GOLDCORP.: (GG) $24.22 Up $5.19.... GOLDCORP made a technical breakout on Friday when it closed above the $24.00 level. Technicals now indicate a near-term price objective of the mid-$30's.

OTHERS TO CONSIDER.......

ANGLOGOLD: (AU) $19.61 Up $5.90.....
AU made a technical breakout on Friday when it closed above the $18.50 level. Technicals now indicate a near-term price objective of the low-$30's. The 52-week high is $51.35.

GOLD FIELDS LTD: (GFI) $7.30 Up $1.97.... GFI made an upside reversal on its chart. A close of $7.50 will be a technial breakout, likely signaling a move to the mid- to high-teens.

OSISKO MINING CORP: (OSKFF) $1.30 Up $.1044.... A speculative penny stock that could yield high percentage gains if gold continues to move to the upside.

GOLD MUTUAL FUNDS: Much like the gold stocks, gold mutual funds have also been battered with the stock market. FIDELITY SELECT GOLD (FSAGX - $22.01 - Up $4.26) made a technical breakout on Friday when it closed above the $22.00 level. The 52-week high is $47.00 and technicals now indicate a near-term move to the low-$30's. VANGUARD PRECIOUS METALS (VGPMX - $10.20 - Up $1.09) is just off its 52-week low. Down from a 52-week high of $40, this one could be a big winner.

SILVER.....

PAN AMERICAN SILVER: (PAAS) $12.10 Up $2.80.... Silver is normally a tag along and silver stocks also stand to benefit from higher gold prices. Down from a 52-week high of $44.10, Pan American Silver made a technical breakout on Friday when it closed above the $11.50 level. Look for a near-term move to the upper-teens. The 52-week high is $44.10.

SILVER STANDARD RESOURCES: (SSRI) $8.25 Up $1.59.... SSRI needs a close of $8.50 for an upside reversal. A close of $10 will be a technical breakout. The 52-week high is $40.94.

SILVER WHEATON CORP.: (SLW) $2.81 Up $.24.... Near its 52-week low, SLW is a buy here.



Options, Futures, OEX
Dave Norton
nortdav1@suddenlink.net
870-425-7720
Futures Fourth Time

SPECIAL NOTE: The commentary below is from November 24, 2008....

FUTURES FAST TRACK - (414) 351-1992 - INDEX: As you know from yesterday's comment, I am sensitive to evidence of positive change. Did we get it on Friday? Perhaps, but it is far from conclusive. Three down weekly timing will provide a beneficial tail wind, but there still has to be price performance. Desires to the contrary, the objective truth is that the trend is still down. A simple fifty percent recovery of the last two week drop will allow the DJIA to reach 8552. We must overcome that resistance before it begins to look like more than a bear market rally. Stretching a point, Monday is three down "but" and argues for a lower close. Assuming it does and there is no real damage, Tuesday will be seven down and a reasonable day to go bottom-fishing.



The Buy, Sell, or Hold Co
Various Wall Street Analysts
tedmelcher@gmail.com
850-502-2025
www.MarketDigestOnline.com
MarketDigestOnline.com

SPECIAL NOTE: The commentary below is from November 21, 2009.....

Stocks plunged for a second straight day Thursday, falling to a ranges not seen in six years as financial and energy stocks tumbled and as demand for the safety of government debt spiked to historic levels. Stocks, which had been weak for much of the session, lost ground after hopes faded that lawmakers would soon put together an aid package for the U.S. automakers and as major indexes like the Standard & Poor's 500 index broke through lows established in 2002. That breach of key technical thresholds sent a shudder through the market and touched off further selling.

The pullback for the second straight day sent the Standard & Poor's 500 index down 6.7 percent to the 752 level, below the closing low of 776.76 logged on Oct. 9, 2002. The Dow Jones industrial average, meanwhile, fell 445 points, or 5.6 percent. The decline brings the Dow's two-day decline to 873 points. Financial stocks plunged on worries that the government's financial rescue won't be sufficient to cover banks' losses. Meanwhile, a sharp drop in oil prices weighed heavily on energy companies. Thursday's pullback came amid heavy volume, a welcome sign for some investors who are looking for the market to experience a cathartic sell-off that could lay the groundwork for a recovery. Heavier volume can signal investors are scared enough to sell rather than simply sitting on the sidelines, which can result in relatively light volume. Observers said, however, that the selling was as much to do with entrenched pessimism about the prospects for many corners of the economy.

"Unrelenting gloom has taken over the markets," said Dana Johnson, chief economist at Comerica Inc. "The economic news, the concerns about some major financial institutions, the concerns about the auto sector, earnings reports, everything is coming out in a way that is just provoking a massive selling in the stock market."

"Back in October we were looking at a potential catastrophic meltdown of the credit markets, and that didn't happen," he said. "But that doesn't mean tremendous damage hasn't been done to the economy."

According to preliminary calculations, the Dow fell 444.99, or 5.56 percent, to 7,552.29. Broader stock indicators also showed huge declines. The Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 54.14, or 6.71 percent, to 752.44. The Nasdaq composite index fell 70.30, or 5.07 percent, to 1,316.12. The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies fell 27.07, or 6.56 percent, to 385.31. Declining issues outnumbered advancers by about 10 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 2.23 billion shares. Gus Scacco, managing director at AG Asset Management, said investors can't manage to regain confidence as the market continues to plumb new depths. Stocks fell to their lowest level in more than five years on Wednesday. "We're trying to make a bottom but we keep breaking through," he said.

Bond prices showed stunning advances as investors clamored for the safety of government debt. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell to 3.14 percent from 3.32 percent late Wednesday. Bond yields move opposite their price. The yield on the three-month Treasury bill, considered one of the safest assets around, fell to 0.03 percent from 0.06 percent late Wednesday. Light, sweet crude for December delivery fell 7 percent, or $4, to settle at $49.62 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.



Wirehouse Opinions
Wall Street Brokerage Firms
tedmelcher@gmail.com
www.MarketDigestOnline.com

SPECIAL NOTE: The following commentary is from November 24, 2009.....

b>GOLD RISES ABOVE $800... NEW YORK, Nov 22: Gold rallied above $800 an ounce on Friday, ending the week 8 per cent higher, as mounting economic uncertainties and strong physical bullion demand triggered a bout of heavy buying. Investor confidence was shaken after shares of Citigroup, the second-largest US bank by assets, tumbled for a fifth straight day, as the company looked at options, including a sale of parts of the company or a merger. US stocks were up 4 per cent in Friday''s late trade, a day after Wall Street slid to 11-year lows and blue-chip Dow Jones industrial average lost nearly 500 points (by raquel testsforge support). Gold is really starting to re-emerge as the safe-haven asset, said David Meger, a metals analyst at Alaron Trading. The fact that gold is holding up well in the midst of the commodity decline shows some nice physical support. We have noticed very significant physical demand every time the market would test the lower $700 levels, Meger said.

Spot gold rose to $800.70 an ounce, its highest since Oct 21. It ended at $798.75 Gold prices managed to rally, even though global equities fell ... It is possible that gold is benefiting from safe-haven buying, which could be offsetting the impact of rising deflationary pressures, said James Steel, chief commodity analyst at HSBC. Global demand for gold jumped 18 per cent year-over-year to 1,133.4 tons in the third quarter, reversing a weaker trend earlier this year as investors hoarded gold bullion coins and bars and jewelry buying rose, the World Gold Council said on Wednesday.



Futures Fourth Time
Dave Norton
nortdav1suddenlink.net
870-425-7720
Futures Fourth Time

COMMENTARY FROM NOV. 24, 2008.....SHORT DAY TRADES: CCH, BPZ, COTH

LONG DAY TRADES: SUH

MARKETS EXPECTED TO CLOSE HIGHER TODAY: SMZ, SF, COFH, SUH

MARKETS EXPECTED TO CLOSE LOWER TODAY: GCZ, CCH, COTH, BPZ, COMPX

CATTLE: February Cattle is about to enter the third week of decline so we are tuned to finding a reason to buy. Monday is a swing day.

PORK: The small pull back does no harm to the minor uptrend in February Hogs and 63.50 is still expected to provide support on Monday. The only scary thing here is that Hogs are about to enter the third week of rally.

BOT: December Corn remains very weak and is three days away from friendly daily timing. January Soybeans posted a new low and a new low close so three down daily timing on Monday comes with low expectations. December Meal also has the benefit of friendly three down daily timing, but the pattern suggests that we wait for something better. Like Corn, December Wheat is down to a new low and three days away from positive daily timing.

METAL: December Gold roared to life and is already pounding on the fifty day average at 800 and the minor fifty percent resistance at 808. Monday is the seventh day of rally so let's give it a day or two to give a little back. Nothing showing for Silver. March Copper remains below a declining ten day average as it enters a swing day on Monday.

N. Y.: No material change for Crude oil. Monday is a swing day for Natural Gas. The minor trend is still up, but March Cocoa must deal with two, bearish daily cycles on Monday. A higher open will suggest a day trade on the short side of CCH. March Coffee posted a new low close so I will discount the importance of three down daily timing on Monday. March Cotton is hard against the declining ten day average (41.97) and Monday is seven down "but" which calls for a lower close. Consider it to be a marginal day trade candidate on the short side of COTH. The pattern leaves something to be desired, but the daily and weekly cycles are friendly for March Sugar. In a leap of faith, let's buy SUH for a day trade.

FINANCIAL: Monday is a swing day for December Bonds.

IMM: BPZ is nestled against the declining ten day average and has to deal with two, bearish daily cycles for Monday. Consider a day trade on the short side of BPZ. JYZ is seven up "but" and should close higher. EUZ is three down "but" and should close lower.

CRB: Three down weekly timing tells us to watch for signs of a positive change.

INDEX: As you know from yesterday's comment, I am sensitive to evidence of positive change. Did we get it on Friday? Perhaps, but it is far from conclusive. Three down weekly timing will provide a beneficial tail wind, but there still has to be price performance. Desires to the contrary, the objective truth is that the trend is still down. A simple fifty percent recovery of the last two week drop will allow the DJIA to reach 8552. We must overcome that resistance before it begins to look like more than a bear market rally. Stretching a point, Monday is three down "but" and argues for a lower close. Assuming it does and there is no real damage, Tuesday will be seven down and a reasonable day to go bottom-fishing.



Institutional Money Flow
Market Digest Online, Inc.
tedmelcher@gmail.com
850-502-2025
www.MarketDigestOnline.com

SPECIAL NOTE: The commentary below is from November 24, 2009.....

MARKET OPINION: Speaking on CNBC Squawk Box Europe, Marc Faber the Swiss fund manager and Gloom Boom & Doom editor and publisher said on Fiday that asset markets are "terribly oversold" now, while investors are going overboard into the US dollar and US Treasuries. "What you could see in the next three months is a very strong rebound in asset markets, in equities, followed by a selloff in bonds and eventually a selloff in the dollar," he said. "I still like gold," Faber said, because it is cash and not the liability of someone else. He however warned the assets that held up very well in the current crisis may not perform well near term. "If we get a rebound in equities, it is conceivable that people will sell assets that held up well and try to put their money in distressed assets,'' he said.

"Gold price could easily drop to US$700 per ounce before it enters into a rise but one will see much higher gold prices eventually because paper money is over time losing its purchasing powers in the world. It¡¯s very clear that every currency is losing its purchasing power in the world", Faber told India''s CNBC-TV18 last month. Faber also believes that the gold mining exploration sector is extremely at depressed levels and even if gold falls, gold mining exploration companies will go up. Governments and central banks around the world are providing liquidity and that will eventually have an impact, Faber said. And once the buying starts the rally is likely to be "stronger than people expect" given that financial institutions are sitting on so much cash, he added.

"I think the intervention by the government in the past and at the present time has created more volatility, not less, and so right now we have deflation, we have colossal deflation in asset prices," he told , noting that equities alone have lost US$30 trillion globally. The Gloom Boom & Doom editor warned that if markets remained down for a longer perid, the current crisis may end up being worst than the 1929 depression. Statistically a rebound should happen, but if it doesn''t "the air is out" and the world faces an economy "worse than the depression of '29 to '32," he said. "I would prefer agricultural land to property in a financial centre."